For SaleRisky Deal1 days on market

7201 W Willow Fishhook Rd

7201 W Willow Fishhook Rd, Willow, AK 99688, Willow, AK 99688
$1,200,000

Listing Price

Property image 1
7201 W Willow Fishhook Rd, Willow, AK 99688
Loc: Willow, AK
Days Listed
1
Lot Size
53.67 acres
Type
single family

More Than Just a Property

We believe a home extends beyond its walls. That's why we help you explore the pulse of the community—from top-rated schools to essential emergency services. Your safety, well-being, and connection to the neighborhood matter to us.

4.9
Safety Score
A+
Schools

Nearby Schools

Educational options and performance ratings in the area.

10

Willow Elementary School

PK-5
13.1 mi away
4

Houston Middle School

6-8
12.9 mi away
4

Houston High School

9-12
12.6 mi away

Property Overview

No property narrative or remarks were supplied in the source listing records. Underwriting and financial metrics are calculated directly from public record data and MLS attributes.

Features & Amenities

remotewildernesscommercial-propertystorage-unitsmulti-structurewooded-lotsecludedgravel-parkingnature-surroundingsruralmountainous-terraindevelopmentutility-buildings

Haven AI Verdict

Recommendation
Risky
Confidence Score: 2/10
Exercise caution due to potential market volatility.
Cap Rate
5.85%
Total ROI
86.1%
Cash Flow
$-375/mo
DSCR
0.94
Was this AI Verdict accurate?

Data provided by Haven AI. Disclaimer

Haven AI

Property yields an estimated $-375/mo net cash flow with a 5.8% cap rate. Underwriting indicates risky fundamentals for long-term hold.

Strengths
  • Favorable cap rate profile (5.8%)
  • Strong rental demand in Willow
Considerations
  • Verify historical operating expenses and local tax assessment
  • Confirm current lease terms and tenant estoppel certificates

10-Year Price Projection

Price & Tax History

Price History

DateEventPricePrice/sqft
2026-09-15Listed for sale$1,200,000$282
2021-12-29Sold$0
2021-10-23Pending sale$94,500$22
2021-10-21Listed for sale$94,500$22
Nathaniel Pitchon-Getzels Logo
Getzels Group
Haven Team
CalRE #01884947
Call / Text
818.535.5337

Property Specs

Beds
11
Baths
2
Sq Ft
4,256
Address-Level Value-Add Underwriting

ARV, Rehab & Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO)

Model contractor scopes, estimated after-repair value (ARV) projections, and determine your purchase price ceiling to protect target margins.

Modeled value-add projection (+18% baseline) for 11b/2ba in Willow
+18% vs. list
$
$191,520
75% Rule
Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO)
$870,480

Calculated as (75% × $1,416,000) − $191,520

Asking Price is $329,520 (27.5%) Above MAO
To achieve your target margin of 25%, submit an initial counteroffer closer to $870,480 based on $191,520 in required updates.
Current Asking Price:$1,200,000
Estimated ARV:$1,416,000
Estimated Renovation:$191,520
All-In Capital Basis (MAO + Rehab):$1,062,000
Projected Equity Margin:+$354,000
Institutional Underwriting Ledger

Investment Numbers & Operating Model

Standardized cash flow underwriting modeled with state tax schedules, regional insurance hazard risk, and disciplined operating reserves.

Data Provenance:[Observed] List Price: $1,200,000[Estimated] Rent: $9,600/mo[Estimated] Tax Rate: 1.19% (AK)[Estimated] Hazard Ins: $350/mo[Defaulted] Reserves: 23% OpEx Baseline
Haven ScoreRisky
2/ 10

Multi-factor yield grade

Cap Rate (Unleveraged)
5.85%

NOI: $70,224/yr

Cash-on-Cash Yield
-1.6%

On $276,000 invested

DSCR Ratio
0.94x

Negative debt coverage

5-Yr Leveraged ROI
+86.1%

Equity + cumulative cash

Financing Scenario Controls
Adjust down payment & rates to model your personalized return

Monthly Cash Flow Breakdown

Monthly Operating Deductions
[Estimated]Property Taxes (1.19% of basis)-$1,190/mo
[Estimated]Homeowner / Hazard Insurance-$350/mo
[Defaulted]Vacancy Reserve (5% of rent)-$480/mo
[Defaulted]Repairs & Maintenance (10% of rent)-$960/mo
[Defaulted]Property Management (8% of rent)-$768/mo
Total Pure Operating Expenses-$3,748/mo
Net Investor Cash Flow
Gross Scheduled Rent+$9,600/mo
Less: Operating Expenses-$3,748/mo
Net Operating Income (NOI)+$5,852/mo
Less: Debt Service (30yr @ 6.75%)-$6,227/mo
Net Cash Flow
$-375/mo
$-4,495/year
Underwrite with Acquisition CalculatorsTransfer this property's exact numbers into dedicated underwriting tools:

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