Off MarketRisky Deal-1 days on market

14233 W Cozy Ridge Rd

14233 W Cozy Ridge Rd, Wasilla, AK 99623, Wasilla, AK 99623

$1,195,000

Zestimate®:$628,100

Listing Price

14233 W Cozy Ridge Rd, Wasilla, AK 99623

Loc: Wasilla, AK

Days Listed

-1

Tax Assessed

$629k

Zestimate®

$628k

Market Rate

Lot Size

1.00 acres

Rent Estimate

$2,520/mo

Est. Cash Flow base

Type

single family

More Than Just a Property

We believe a home extends beyond its walls. That's why we help you explore the pulse of the community—from top-rated schools to essential emergency services. Your safety, well-being, and connection to the neighborhood matter to us.

4.9

Safety Score

A+

Schools

Nearby Schools

Educational options and performance ratings in the area.

Big Lake Elementary School

PK-5

2.2 mi away

Houston Middle School

6-8

1.6 mi away

Houston High School

9-12

1.9 mi away

Property Overview

No property narrative or remarks were supplied in the source listing records. Underwriting and financial metrics are calculated directly from public record data and MLS attributes.

Features & Amenities

Single Family Residence2020Active Solar, Fireplace Insert, Radiant Floor, PropaneNo Data1 Acres$407

Haven AI Verdict

Recommendation

Risky

Confidence Score: 5/10

Exercise caution due to potential market volatility.

Cap Rate

0.97%

Total ROI

-20.0%

Cash Flow

$-5,233/mo

DSCR

0.16

Was this AI Verdict accurate?

Data provided by Haven AI. Disclaimer

Haven AI

Property yields an estimated $-5,233/mo net cash flow with a 1.0% cap rate. Underwriting indicates risky fundamentals for long-term hold.

Strengths

• Prime residential location in Wasilla, AK
• Long-term capital appreciation corridor

Considerations

• Verify historical operating expenses and local tax assessment
• Confirm current lease terms and tenant estoppel certificates

10-Year Price Projection

Price & Tax History

Price History

Date	Event	Price	Price/sqft
2015-05-01	Sold	$0	–

Tax History

Year	Property Tax	Tax Assessment
2025	$4,813.46	$628,800
2024	$8,419.79	$606,700
2023	$7,726.82	$583,200
2022	$7,275.22	$525,400
2021	$7,046.5	$465,300
2020	$2,705.56	$173,400
2019	$446.7	$28,400
2018	$444.43	$28,400
2017	$414.99	$28,400
2016	$414.99	$28,400
2015	$414.99	$28,400

Getzels Group

Haven Team

CalRE #01884947

Call / Text

818.535.5337

Property Specs

Beds

Baths

Sq Ft

2,938

Address-Level Value-Add Underwriting

ARV, Rehab & Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO)

Model contractor scopes, estimated after-repair value (ARV) projections, and determine your purchase price ceiling to protect target margins.

Estimated After-Repair Value (ARV) [estimated]Modeled value-add projection (+18% baseline) for 4b/3ba in Wasilla

+18% vs. list

Rehab Budget & Scope (2,938 sq ft)$132,210

Institutional Acquisition Rule75% Rule

Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO)

$925,365

Calculated as (75% × $1,410,100) − $132,210

Asking Price is $269,635 (22.6%) Above MAO

To achieve your target margin of 25%, submit an initial counteroffer closer to $925,365 based on $132,210 in required updates.

Current Asking Price:$1,195,000

Estimated ARV:$1,410,100

Estimated Renovation:$132,210

All-In Capital Basis (MAO + Rehab):$1,057,575

Projected Equity Margin:+$352,525

Institutional Underwriting Ledger

Investment Numbers & Operating Model

Standardized cash flow underwriting modeled with state tax schedules, regional insurance hazard risk, and disciplined operating reserves.

Data Provenance:[Observed] List Price: $1,195,000[Observed] Rent: $2,520/mo[Estimated] Tax Rate: 1.19% (AK)[Estimated] Hazard Ins: $349/mo[Defaulted] Reserves: 23% OpEx Baseline

Haven ScoreRisky

0/ 10

Multi-factor yield grade

Cap Rate (Unleveraged)

0.97%

NOI: $11,614/yr

Cash-on-Cash Yield

-22.8%

On $274,850 invested

DSCR Ratio

0.16x

Negative debt coverage