For SaleRisky Deal5 days on market

12612 Oxford Vineyard Ln

12612 Oxford Vineyard Ln, Manor, TX 78653, Manor, TX 78653

$280,000

Zestimate®:$276,700

Listing Price

12612 Oxford Vineyard Ln, Manor, TX 78653

Loc: Manor, TX

Days Listed

Tax Assessed

$373k

Zestimate®

$277k

Market Rate

Lot Size

5,175 sqft

Rent Estimate

$2,499/mo

Est. Cash Flow base

Type

single family

More Than Just a Property

We believe a home extends beyond its walls. That's why we help you explore the pulse of the community—from top-rated schools to essential emergency services. Your safety, well-being, and connection to the neighborhood matter to us.

4.9

Safety Score

A+

Schools

Nearby Schools

Educational options and performance ratings in the area.

Bluebonnet Trail Elementary School

PK-5

2.2 mi away

Decker Middle School

6-8

5.1 mi away

Manor High School

9-12

3.9 mi away

Property Overview

No property narrative or remarks were supplied in the source listing records. Underwriting and financial metrics are calculated directly from public record data and MLS attributes.

Features & Amenities

Single Family Residence2024Central, ElectricCentral Air, Electric2 Garage spaces$180 quarterly5,174 sqft5 Days$170

Haven AI Verdict

Recommendation

Risky

Confidence Score: 1/10

Exercise caution due to potential market volatility.

Cap Rate

5.21%

Total ROI

72.0%

Cash Flow

$-238/mo

DSCR

0.84

Was this AI Verdict accurate?

Data provided by Haven AI. Disclaimer

Haven AI

Property yields an estimated $-238/mo net cash flow with a 5.2% cap rate. Underwriting indicates risky fundamentals for long-term hold.

Strengths

• Prime residential location in Manor, TX
• Long-term capital appreciation corridor

Considerations

• Verify historical operating expenses and local tax assessment
• Confirm current lease terms and tenant estoppel certificates

10-Year Price Projection

Price & Tax History

Price History

Date	Event	Price	Price/sqft
2026-09-10	Listed for sale	$280,000	$170
2024-12-27	Sold	$0	–

Tax History

Year	Property Tax	Tax Assessment
2025	$5,936.74	$372,960
2024	$1,690.18	$100,000
2023	$1,628.67	$100,000
2022	$582.59	$25,000

Getzels Group

Haven Team

CalRE #01884947

Call / Text

818.535.5337

Property Specs

Beds

Baths

Sq Ft

1,647

Address-Level Value-Add Underwriting

ARV, Rehab & Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO)

Model contractor scopes, estimated after-repair value (ARV) projections, and determine your purchase price ceiling to protect target margins.

Estimated After-Repair Value (ARV) [estimated]Modeled value-add projection (+18% baseline) for 3b/2ba in Manor

+18% vs. list

Rehab Budget & Scope (1,647 sq ft)$74,115

Institutional Acquisition Rule75% Rule

Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO)

$173,685

Calculated as (75% × $330,400) − $74,115

Asking Price is $106,315 (38.0%) Above MAO

To achieve your target margin of 25%, submit an initial counteroffer closer to $173,685 based on $74,115 in required updates.

Current Asking Price:$280,000

Estimated ARV:$330,400

Estimated Renovation:$74,115

All-In Capital Basis (MAO + Rehab):$247,800

Projected Equity Margin:+$82,600

Institutional Underwriting Ledger

Investment Numbers & Operating Model

Standardized cash flow underwriting modeled with state tax schedules, regional insurance hazard risk, and disciplined operating reserves.

Data Provenance:[Observed] List Price: $280,000[Observed] Rent: $2,499/mo[Estimated] Tax Rate: 1.8% (TX)[Estimated] Hazard Ins: $150/mo[Defaulted] Reserves: 23% OpEx Baseline

Haven ScoreRisky

1/ 10

Multi-factor yield grade

Cap Rate (Unleveraged)

5.21%

NOI: $14,577/yr

Cash-on-Cash Yield

-4.4%

On $64,400 invested

DSCR Ratio

0.84x

Negative debt coverage