OFF_MARKETRisky Deal4 days on market

1900 Old Ranch Rd

1900 Old Ranch Rd, Los Angeles, CA 90049, Los Angeles, CA 90049
$48,500,000
Zestimate®:$47,540,900

Listing Price

Property image 1
1900 Old Ranch Rd, Los Angeles, CA 90049
Loc: Los Angeles, CA
Days Listed
4
Tax Assessed
$13763k
Zestimate®
$47541k
Market Rate
Lot Size
8.60 acres
Rent Estimate
$104,489/mo
Est. Cash Flow base
Type
single family

More Than Just a Property

We believe a home extends beyond its walls. That's why we help you explore the pulse of the community—from top-rated schools to essential emergency services. Your safety, well-being, and connection to the neighborhood matter to us.

4.9
Safety Score
A+
Schools

Nearby Schools

Educational options and performance ratings in the area.

10

Kenter Canyon Elementary School

K-5
0.9 mi away
9

Paul Revere Middle School

6-8
1 mi away
9

Palisades Charter High School

9-12
2.1 mi away

Property Overview

A stunning investment opportunity in a prime location. This property features modern amenities, spacious living areas, and strong rental potential.

Features & Amenities

Open Floor PlanHardwood FloorsModern KitchenStainless Steel AppliancesCentral Heat/AirLarge BackyardParkingNear Transit

Haven AI Verdict

Recommendation
Risky
Confidence Score: 3/10
Exercise caution due to potential market volatility.
Cap Rate
1.98%
Total ROI
-0.4%
Cash Flow
$-165,066/mo
DSCR
0.33
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Data provided by Haven AI. Disclaimer

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Haven AI

This ultra-luxury asset in Los Angeles presents a significant capital preservation risk from a conservative investment standpoint. While the 4% appreciation is consistent with prime Brentwood/Sullivan Canyon trends, the financial fundamentals are prohibitive. A rental yield of 1.98% is exceptionally low, failing to outpace even modest inflation or risk-free Treasury yields. Most concerning is the monthly cash flow deficit of $165,065.73, which creates a massive annual burn of nearly $2 million. Even with high appreciation, the negative carry and high holding costs make this property a speculative trophy acquisition rather than a viable income-generating investment.

Strengths
  • Prime location in a highly desirable Los Angeles enclave
  • Significant square footage and scale for the submarket
  • Strong historical long-term appreciation for trophy assets
Considerations
  • Unsustainable monthly negative cash flow exceeding $165,000
  • Rental yield is significantly below current cost of capital
  • High illiquidity typical of the $40M+ price point
  • Substantial operational and maintenance overhead for a 16,900 sqft estate
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10-Year Price Projection

Price & Tax History

Price History

DateEventPricePrice/sqft
2026-05-13Listed for sale$48,500,000$2,870
2012-08-09Listing removed$8,750,000$518
2012-05-22Price change$8,750,000$518
2012-04-19Listed for sale$10,750,000$636
2011-12-16Sold$8,000,080$473
2009-09-22Sold$6,250,000$370
2008-10-29Listing removed$8,900,000$527
2008-06-19Listed for sale$8,900,000$527
2008-02-28Listing removed$8,900,000$527
2008-02-28Price change$8,900,000$527
2007-09-16Listed for sale$10,900,000$645

Tax History

YearProperty TaxTax Assessment
2025$164,408$13,763,439
2024$176,252.39$14,587,139
2023$172,787.9$14,301,117
2022$164,672.56$14,020,704
2021$162,734.9$13,745,789
2020$164,461.58$13,604,843
2019$164,461.58$13,338,082
2018$157,165.61$8,831,251
2017$106,389.87$8,658,090
2016$104,058.76$8,488,324
2015$101,892.55$8,360,822
2014$100,687.3$8,197,046
2012$0$8,000,000
2011$0$6,297,062
2010$0$6,250,000
2009$0$329,727
2008$0$323,263
2007$0$316,926
2006$0$310,713
2005$0$310,713
2004$0$298,650
2003$0$293,177
2002$0$287,430
2000$0$276,271
Nathaniel Pitchon-Getzels Logo
Getzels Group
Haven Team
CalRE #01884947
Call / Text
818.535.5337

Property Specs

Beds
8
Baths
12
Sq Ft
16,900
Institutional Underwriting Ledger

Investment Numbers & Operating Model

Standardized cash flow underwriting modeled with state tax schedules, regional insurance hazard risk, and disciplined operating reserves.

Data Sources:MLS List Price: $48,500,000Rent Basis: Observed Comp Model ($104,489/mo)State Tax Benchmark: 0.75% (CA)Hazard Reserve: $24,250/mo
Haven ScoreRisky
0/ 10

Multi-factor yield grade

Cap Rate (Unleveraged)
1.18%

NOI: $571,253/yr

Cash-on-Cash Yield
-22.0%

On $11,155,000 invested

DSCR Ratio
0.19x

Negative debt coverage

5-Yr Leveraged ROI
+-15.6%

Equity + cumulative cash

Financing Scenario Controls
Adjust down payment & rates to model your personalized return

Monthly Cash Flow Breakdown

Monthly Operating Deductions
Property Taxes (0.75% of basis)-$8,602/mo
Homeowner / Hazard Insurance-$24,250/mo
Vacancy Reserve (5% of rent)-$5,224/mo
Repairs & Maintenance (10% of rent)-$10,449/mo
Property Management (8% of rent)-$8,359/mo
Total Pure Operating Expenses-$56,885/mo
Net Investor Cash Flow
Gross Scheduled Rent+$104,489/mo
Less: Operating Expenses-$56,885/mo
Net Operating Income (NOI)+$47,604/mo
Less: Debt Service (30yr @ 6.75%)-$251,656/mo
Net Cash Flow
$-204,052/mo
$-2,448,620/year
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