OFF_MARKETRisky Deal6 days on market

407 1st Ave NE

407 1st Ave NE, Lutz, FL 33549, Lutz, FL 33549
$439,900
Zestimate®:$424,100

Listing Price

Property image 1
407 1st Ave NE, Lutz, FL 33549
Loc: Lutz, FL
Days Listed
6
Tax Assessed
$372k
Zestimate®
$424k
Market Rate
Lot Size
0.62 acres
Rent Estimate
$2,507/mo
Est. Cash Flow base
Type
single family

More Than Just a Property

We believe a home extends beyond its walls. That's why we help you explore the pulse of the community—from top-rated schools to essential emergency services. Your safety, well-being, and connection to the neighborhood matter to us.

4.9
Safety Score
A+
Schools

Nearby Schools

Educational options and performance ratings in the area.

9

Lutz K-8 School

PK-8
0.3 mi away
2

Freedom High School

9-12
4.6 mi away
8

Liberty Middle School

6-8
4.7 mi away

Property Overview

A stunning investment opportunity in a prime location. This property features modern amenities, spacious living areas, and strong rental potential.

Features & Amenities

Open Floor PlanHardwood FloorsModern KitchenStainless Steel AppliancesCentral Heat/AirLarge BackyardParkingNear Transit

Haven AI Verdict

Recommendation
Risky
Confidence Score: 4/10
Exercise caution due to potential market volatility.
Cap Rate
4.87%
Total ROI
14.0%
Cash Flow
$-440/mo
DSCR
0.80
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Data provided by Haven AI. Disclaimer

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Haven AI

This single-family residence in Lutz, FL, presents a challenging investment profile for a conservative analyst. While the 4% appreciation rate and 3-bedroom configuration are standard for the suburban Tampa market, the financial fundamentals are weak. With a monthly cash flow of -$439.67, the investor is essentially subsidizing the property’s mortgage and operating expenses by over $5,000 annually. A rental yield of 4.87% is insufficient to cover current financing costs and maintenance reserves in a high-interest environment. Without a significant price reduction or a substantial down payment to offset negative leverage, this asset represents a drain on liquidity rather than a wealth-generating vehicle.

Strengths
  • Strong demand for 3-bedroom suburban homes in the Lutz/Tampa area
  • Consistent historical appreciation rate of 4% annually
  • Functional 1,726 sqft layout attractive to long-term family tenants
Considerations
  • Significant negative monthly cash flow of -$439.67 requiring external funding
  • Rental yield of 4.87% is below current cost of capital and mortgage rates
  • Negative leverage situation where debt service exceeds net operating income
  • High entry price relative to the current market rent levels
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10-Year Price Projection

Price & Tax History

Price History

DateEventPricePrice/sqft
2026-04-10Listed for sale$439,900$255
2022-04-05Sold$430,000$249
2022-03-08Pending sale$430,000$249
2022-03-02Listed for sale$430,000$249
2000-10-26Sold$119,000$69

Tax History

YearProperty TaxTax Assessment
2024$7,006.55$371,596
2023$7,077.05$376,824
2022$2,665.1$169,601
2021$2,039.07$131,749
2020$1,956.92$129,930
2019$1,867.24$127,009
2018$1,867.24$124,641
2017$1,814.65$143,613
2016$1,781.17$119,566
2015$1,753.62$118,735
2014$1,747.04$117,793
2013$1,747.04$117,539
2012$1,765.43$115,574
2011$1,811.36$117,659
2010$1,908.73$123,358
2009$1,852.82$120,456
2008$1,846.44$120,336
2007$2,050.5$116,831
2006$2,144.9$113,981
2005$2,136$110,661
2004$1,972.45$104,593
2003$925.59$102,643
2002$0$100,237
2001$0$98,658
2000$1,379.19$78,490
Nathaniel Pitchon-Getzels Logo
Getzels Group
Haven Team
CalRE #01884947
Call / Text
818.535.5337

Property Specs

Beds
3
Baths
2
Sq Ft
1,726
Institutional Underwriting Ledger

Investment Numbers & Operating Model

Standardized cash flow underwriting modeled with state tax schedules, regional insurance hazard risk, and disciplined operating reserves.

Data Sources:MLS List Price: $439,900Rent Basis: Observed Comp Model ($2,507/mo)State Tax Benchmark: 0.98% (FL)Hazard Reserve: $220/mo
Haven ScoreRisky
0/ 10

Multi-factor yield grade

Cap Rate (Unleveraged)
3.84%

NOI: $16,883/yr

Cash-on-Cash Yield
-10.4%

On $101,177 invested

DSCR Ratio
0.62x

Negative debt coverage

5-Yr Leveraged ROI
+42.3%

Equity + cumulative cash

Financing Scenario Controls
Adjust down payment & rates to model your personalized return

Monthly Cash Flow Breakdown

Monthly Operating Deductions
Property Taxes (0.98% of basis)-$303/mo
Homeowner / Hazard Insurance-$220/mo
Vacancy Reserve (5% of rent)-$125/mo
Repairs & Maintenance (10% of rent)-$251/mo
Property Management (8% of rent)-$201/mo
Total Pure Operating Expenses-$1,100/mo
Net Investor Cash Flow
Gross Scheduled Rent+$2,507/mo
Less: Operating Expenses-$1,100/mo
Net Operating Income (NOI)+$1,407/mo
Less: Debt Service (30yr @ 6.75%)-$2,283/mo
Net Cash Flow
$-876/mo
$-10,508/year
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