OFF_MARKETRisky Deal4 days on market

12720 Carnouste Ln #1

12720 Carnouste Ln #1, Berlin, MD 21811, Berlin, MD 21811
$524,900
Zestimate®:$484,200

Listing Price

Property image 1
12720 Carnouste Ln #1, Berlin, MD 21811
Loc: Berlin, MD
Days Listed
4
Tax Assessed
$431k
Zestimate®
$484k
Market Rate
Lot Size
4,106 sqft
Rent Estimate
$2,916/mo
Est. Cash Flow base
Type
townhouse

More Than Just a Property

We believe a home extends beyond its walls. That's why we help you explore the pulse of the community—from top-rated schools to essential emergency services. Your safety, well-being, and connection to the neighborhood matter to us.

4.9
Safety Score
A+
Schools

Nearby Schools

Educational options and performance ratings in the area.

8

Showell Elementary School

PK-4
1.2 mi away
10

Stephen Decatur Middle School

7-8
4.5 mi away
7

Stephen Decatur High School

9-12
4.2 mi away

Property Overview

A stunning investment opportunity in a prime location. This property features modern amenities, spacious living areas, and strong rental potential.

Features & Amenities

Open Floor PlanHardwood FloorsModern KitchenStainless Steel AppliancesCentral Heat/AirLarge BackyardParkingNear Transit

Haven AI Verdict

Recommendation
Risky
Confidence Score: 3.2/10
Exercise caution due to potential market volatility.
Cap Rate
4.79%
Total ROI
13.6%
Cash Flow
$-561/mo
DSCR
0.79
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Data provided by Haven AI. Disclaimer

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Haven AI

This townhouse at 12720 Carnouste Ln presents a significant challenge for the conservative investor. While the property offers substantial square footage and is located in the desirable Berlin, MD area near coastal amenities, the financial fundamentals are weak. With a negative monthly cash flow of -$561.01 and a subpar rental yield of 4.79%, the property fails to cover its own operating expenses and financing costs. This 'alligator' property would require a substantial cash infusion every month, making it a speculative bet on appreciation rather than a stable income-producing asset. Without a significant price reduction or a massive down payment to eliminate debt service, this investment poses high liquidity risk.

Strengths
  • Substantial square footage for a townhouse
  • Desirable location in Berlin, MD with proximity to Ocean City
  • Favorable 3-bed, 3-bath configuration for families or vacationers
  • Steady 4% expected annual appreciation
Considerations
  • Negative monthly cash flow of -$561.01
  • Rental yield of 4.79% is below the current risk-free rate of return
  • High entry price relative to the income-generating potential
  • Investor must subsidize the mortgage monthly, increasing personal liability
  • Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations if not purchased in cash
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10-Year Price Projection

Price & Tax History

Price History

DateEventPricePrice/sqft
2026-04-02Listed for sale$524,900$223
2023-10-30Sold$460,000$196
2023-10-03Contingent$460,000$196
2023-09-22Price change$460,000$196
2023-04-25Pending sale$444,990$189
2023-04-18Price change$444,990$189
2023-03-11Listed for sale$434,990$185

Tax History

YearProperty TaxTax Assessment
2025$3,921.84$423,067
2024$3,970.59$414,900
2023$651.72$68,100
Nathaniel Pitchon-Getzels Logo
Getzels Group
Haven Team
CalRE #01884947
Call / Text
818.535.5337

Property Specs

Beds
3
Baths
3
Sq Ft
2,350
Institutional Underwriting Ledger

Investment Numbers & Operating Model

Standardized cash flow underwriting modeled with state tax schedules, regional insurance hazard risk, and disciplined operating reserves.

Data Sources:MLS List Price: $524,900Rent Basis: Observed Comp Model ($2,916/mo)State Tax Benchmark: 1.09% (MD)Hazard Reserve: $153/mo
Haven ScoreRisky
0/ 10

Multi-factor yield grade

Cap Rate (Unleveraged)
3.89%

NOI: $20,407/yr

Cash-on-Cash Yield
-10.2%

On $120,727 invested

DSCR Ratio
0.62x

Negative debt coverage

5-Yr Leveraged ROI
+43.4%

Equity + cumulative cash

Financing Scenario Controls
Adjust down payment & rates to model your personalized return

Monthly Cash Flow Breakdown

Monthly Operating Deductions
Property Taxes (1.09% of basis)-$392/mo
Homeowner / Hazard Insurance-$153/mo
Vacancy Reserve (5% of rent)-$146/mo
Repairs & Maintenance (10% of rent)-$292/mo
Property Management (8% of rent)-$233/mo
Total Pure Operating Expenses-$1,215/mo
Net Investor Cash Flow
Gross Scheduled Rent+$2,916/mo
Less: Operating Expenses-$1,215/mo
Net Operating Income (NOI)+$1,701/mo
Less: Debt Service (30yr @ 6.75%)-$2,724/mo
Net Cash Flow
$-1,023/mo
$-12,276/year
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