OFF_MARKETRisky Deal1 days on market

1440 Kruger Dr

1440 Kruger Dr, Modesto, CA 95355, Modesto, CA 95355
$470,000
Zestimate®:$466,200

Listing Price

Property image 1
1440 Kruger Dr, Modesto, CA 95355
Loc: Modesto, CA
Days Listed
1
Tax Assessed
$357k
Zestimate®
$466k
Market Rate
Lot Size
7,240 sqft
Rent Estimate
$2,375/mo
Est. Cash Flow base
Type
single family

More Than Just a Property

We believe a home extends beyond its walls. That's why we help you explore the pulse of the community—from top-rated schools to essential emergency services. Your safety, well-being, and connection to the neighborhood matter to us.

4.9
Safety Score
A+
Schools

Nearby Schools

Educational options and performance ratings in the area.

5

Rose Avenue Elementary School

K-6
0.3 mi away
4

La Loma Junior High School

7-8
1.2 mi away
4

Thomas Downey High School

9-12
0.3 mi away

Property Overview

A stunning investment opportunity in a prime location. This property features modern amenities, spacious living areas, and strong rental potential.

Features & Amenities

Open Floor PlanHardwood FloorsModern KitchenStainless Steel AppliancesCentral Heat/AirLarge BackyardParkingNear Transit

Haven AI Verdict

Recommendation
Risky
Confidence Score: 3.5/10
Exercise caution due to potential market volatility.
Cap Rate
4.29%
Total ROI
11.1%
Cash Flow
$-696/mo
DSCR
0.71
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Data provided by Haven AI. Disclaimer

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Haven AI

This property presents a challenging investment profile characterized by a significant negative monthly cash flow of $696.04. At a 4.29% rental yield, the income generated is insufficient to cover the debt service and operating expenses, effectively requiring the investor to subsidize the asset by over $8,300 annually. While the 3-bed, 2-bath configuration in Modesto offers stability in tenant demand and a reasonable 4% expected appreciation, the investment relies entirely on speculative equity growth rather than income. In a high-interest-rate environment, the lack of positive carry makes this asset a liability for cash-flow-focused portfolios and increases the risk of a forced sale during market downturns.

Strengths
  • Standard 3/2 layout is highly liquid for both rental and resale markets
  • Reasonable square footage (1,672) for the price point in the California market
  • Consistent regional appreciation trend provides a long-term equity hedge
Considerations
  • Significant negative cash flow creates a persistent drain on liquidity
  • Rental yield is below the risk-free rate and current mortgage rates
  • Heavily reliant on price appreciation to reach a break-even internal rate of return
  • Limited margin of safety for maintenance, vacancies, or management fees
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10-Year Price Projection

Price & Tax History

Price History

DateEventPricePrice/sqft
2026-04-02Listed for sale$470,000$281
2018-08-21Sold$320,000$191
2018-07-24Pending sale$328,000$196
2018-07-09Listed for sale$328,000$196
1998-10-14Sold$118,000$71

Tax History

YearProperty TaxTax Assessment
2025$4,174.32$356,961
2024$3,987.34$349,963
2023$3,928.72$343,102
2022$3,833.28$336,375
2021$3,605.6$329,780
2020$3,676.4$326,400
2019$3,591.5$320,000
2018$1,695.44$162,573
2017$1,653.48$159,386
2016$1,620.32$156,262
2015$1,571.14$153,915
2014$1,571.14$150,901
2012$0$144,389
2011$0$144,389
2010$0$143,310
2009$0$143,649
2008$0$140,833
2007$0$138,072
2006$0$135,365
2005$0$132,712
2004$1,314.58$130,111
2003$1,301.68$127,727
2002$0$125,222
2001$1,251.44$122,767
2000$1,257.38$120,360
Nathaniel Pitchon-Getzels Logo
Getzels Group
Haven Team
CalRE #01884947
Call / Text
818.535.5337

Property Specs

Beds
3
Baths
2
Sq Ft
1,672
Institutional Underwriting Ledger

Investment Numbers & Operating Model

Standardized cash flow underwriting modeled with state tax schedules, regional insurance hazard risk, and disciplined operating reserves.

Data Sources:MLS List Price: $470,000Rent Basis: Observed Comp Model ($2,375/mo)State Tax Benchmark: 0.75% (CA)Hazard Reserve: $235/mo
Haven ScoreRisky
0/ 10

Multi-factor yield grade

Cap Rate (Unleveraged)
3.50%

NOI: $16,448/yr

Cash-on-Cash Yield
-11.9%

On $108,100 invested

DSCR Ratio
0.56x

Negative debt coverage

5-Yr Leveraged ROI
+34.9%

Equity + cumulative cash

Financing Scenario Controls
Adjust down payment & rates to model your personalized return

Monthly Cash Flow Breakdown

Monthly Operating Deductions
Property Taxes (0.75% of basis)-$223/mo
Homeowner / Hazard Insurance-$235/mo
Vacancy Reserve (5% of rent)-$119/mo
Repairs & Maintenance (10% of rent)-$238/mo
Property Management (8% of rent)-$190/mo
Total Pure Operating Expenses-$1,004/mo
Net Investor Cash Flow
Gross Scheduled Rent+$2,375/mo
Less: Operating Expenses-$1,004/mo
Net Operating Income (NOI)+$1,371/mo
Less: Debt Service (30yr @ 6.75%)-$2,439/mo
Net Cash Flow
$-1,068/mo
$-12,817/year
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