OFF_MARKETRisky Deal4 days on market

5164 Patti Jo Dr

5164 Patti Jo Dr, Carmichael, CA 95608, Carmichael, CA 95608
$499,900
Zestimate®:$494,100

Listing Price

Property image 1
5164 Patti Jo Dr, Carmichael, CA 95608
Loc: Carmichael, CA
Days Listed
4
Tax Assessed
$459k
Zestimate®
$494k
Market Rate
Lot Size
8,002 sqft
Rent Estimate
$2,888/mo
Est. Cash Flow base
Type
single family

More Than Just a Property

We believe a home extends beyond its walls. That's why we help you explore the pulse of the community—from top-rated schools to essential emergency services. Your safety, well-being, and connection to the neighborhood matter to us.

4.9
Safety Score
A+
Schools

Nearby Schools

Educational options and performance ratings in the area.

4

Charles Peck Elementary School

K-5
0.3 mi away
3

Will Rogers Middle School

6-8
0.5 mi away
5

Del Campo High School

9-12
0.3 mi away

Property Overview

A stunning investment opportunity in a prime location. This property features modern amenities, spacious living areas, and strong rental potential.

Features & Amenities

Open Floor PlanHardwood FloorsModern KitchenStainless Steel AppliancesCentral Heat/AirLarge BackyardParkingNear Transit

Haven AI Verdict

Recommendation
Risky
Confidence Score: 4/10
Exercise caution due to potential market volatility.
Cap Rate
4.90%
Total ROI
14.2%
Cash Flow
$-487/mo
DSCR
0.81
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Data provided by Haven AI. Disclaimer

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Haven AI

5164 Patti Jo Dr in Carmichael presents a challenging investment profile for a conservative analyst. While the 3-bed, 2-bath configuration is highly desirable for suburban families and the location is stable, the negative monthly cash flow of -$487.35 is a significant deterrent. This deficit requires the investor to subsidize the mortgage out-of-pocket, shifting the strategy from a fundamental income play to a speculative appreciation play. In the current interest rate environment, a 4.9% rental yield fails to cover debt service and operating expenses. Without a substantial down payment or a significant value-add strategy to force appreciation or increase rents, this property remains a liquidity drain rather than a wealth-generating asset.

Strengths
  • High demand for 3/2 single-family configurations in Sacramento suburbs
  • Stable residential neighborhood with long-term appreciation potential
  • Competitive price point for the square footage
Considerations
  • Negative monthly cash flow creates an immediate monthly liability
  • Rental yield is below the current cost of capital and inflation-adjusted benchmarks
  • Investment success is overly dependent on the 4% appreciation projection
  • Limited margin for error regarding unexpected maintenance or vacancy
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10-Year Price Projection

Price & Tax History

Price History

DateEventPricePrice/sqft
2026-04-01Listed for sale$499,900$290
2020-06-17Sold$419,070$244
2020-06-03Pending sale$395,000$230
2020-05-29Listed for sale$395,000$230

Tax History

YearProperty TaxTax Assessment
2025$5,469.62$458,781
2024$5,352.58$449,786
2023$5,266.22$440,968
2022$5,159.44$432,322
2021$5,072.32$423,846
2020$1,104.68$97,692
2019$1,081.02$95,777
2018$1,067.04$93,900
2017$1,055.04$92,060
2016$984.5$90,256
2015$990.12$88,901
2014$990.12$87,175
2013$0$86,782
2012$0$85,082
2011$0$83,415
2010$0$82,793
2008$0$81,365
2007$0$79,771
2006$0$78,208
2005$0$76,676
2004$0$75,173
2003$0$73,796
2002$0$72,350
2001$0$70,932
2000$0$69,542
Nathaniel Pitchon-Getzels Logo
Getzels Group
Haven Team
CalRE #01884947
Call / Text
818.535.5337

Property Specs

Beds
3
Baths
2
Sq Ft
1,721
Institutional Underwriting Ledger

Investment Numbers & Operating Model

Standardized cash flow underwriting modeled with state tax schedules, regional insurance hazard risk, and disciplined operating reserves.

Data Sources:MLS List Price: $499,900Rent Basis: Observed Comp Model ($2,888/mo)State Tax Benchmark: 0.75% (CA)Hazard Reserve: $250/mo
Haven ScoreRisky
1/ 10

Multi-factor yield grade

Cap Rate (Unleveraged)
4.05%

NOI: $20,244/yr

Cash-on-Cash Yield
-9.5%

On $114,977 invested

DSCR Ratio
0.65x

Negative debt coverage

5-Yr Leveraged ROI
+46.9%

Equity + cumulative cash

Financing Scenario Controls
Adjust down payment & rates to model your personalized return

Monthly Cash Flow Breakdown

Monthly Operating Deductions
Property Taxes (0.75% of basis)-$287/mo
Homeowner / Hazard Insurance-$250/mo
Vacancy Reserve (5% of rent)-$144/mo
Repairs & Maintenance (10% of rent)-$289/mo
Property Management (8% of rent)-$231/mo
Total Pure Operating Expenses-$1,201/mo
Net Investor Cash Flow
Gross Scheduled Rent+$2,888/mo
Less: Operating Expenses-$1,201/mo
Net Operating Income (NOI)+$1,687/mo
Less: Debt Service (30yr @ 6.75%)-$2,594/mo
Net Cash Flow
$-907/mo
$-10,882/year
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